How to Tackle Your Marketing Challenges with Geo Tests

Traditional methods often fall short in measuring the true impact of marketing strategies. Here's how Geo Tests can resolve common marketing challenges.

Amit Sasson
Lead, Causal Analysis

In the complex world of marketing, achieving precision in your campaign’s effectiveness is crucial. Traditional methods often fall short in measuring the true impact of marketing strategies. However, Geo Tests stand out by allowing marketers to simulate a randomized controlled trial, which is often impractical in real-world settings. Geo Tests evaluate the impact of marketing activities by comparing geographic regions exposed to different levels of advertising. By creating test and control areas, these tests help isolate the effect of your campaigns from other variables. Here’s how understanding and employing Geo Tests can resolve common marketing challenges.

Challenge 1: Understanding the Cause of Sales Increases

When launching an advertising campaign, you often observe an increase in sales or web traffic, which seems to suggest that your ads are effective. But is this increase actually due to the advertising itself, or if it correlates with other factors like seasonal trends, market shifts, or competitors’ actions? Using Geo Tests in your next campaign will allow you to compare areas with and without ads, isolating your campaign’s effects from other variables. This verification confirms whether your advertising is the true catalyst for the observed increases.

Let’s look at the following example: you launch a holiday promotion campaign in December. Sales increase significantly, but it’s unclear if this is due to your ads or the general holiday shopping rush. By using Geo Tests, you run the campaign in specific regions (test group) and compare the results to regions where the campaign is not active (control group). If regions with the campaign see a more significant increase than those without, you can confidently attribute the boost to your advertising efforts.

Pretty useful, right?

Challenge 2: Impact Beyond Clicks

Your online ads are displaying low click-through rates, traditionally indicating poor performance. However, based on your deep understanding of your business and customer behavior, you suspect they are still making a positive impact. Could they be enhancing brand awareness or influencing customer behavior over time?

In your upcoming campaigns, using Geo Tests to strategically run ads in specific locations while excluding them from others will offer a definitive assessment of your advertising’s overall impact, extending beyond the often misleading immediate click-through rates. So for example, over time, you might notice that regions with ads have higher sales rates compared to regions without ads, confirming the ads’ broader impact.

Challenge 3: Periodic Advertising Effectiveness

You run online ads periodically and feel like sometimes they seem effective, but at other times, they don’t appear to make any difference. How can you tell which periods are effective and which aren’t? What determines the right timing for your next campaign?

Strategic Geo Tests provide snapshots of a campaign’s impact over time, aiding in pinpointing when ads are most impactful. What does it mean in practice? Each quarter, for example, you run ads in selected regions and compare results with regions where ads are paused. Over several quarters, you identify patterns indicating which times of year are most effective, allowing you to optimize future campaign schedules. These insights guide smarter planning and can be combined with broader analytical methods like Marketing Mix Modeling (MMM) for a more comprehensive overview.

It’s like magic!

Challenge 4: Declining Returns on Ongoing Campaigns

You’re running an online campaign for a new product. Congrats! Initially, you see high engagement rates. However, after a few weeks, engagement begins to drop. You wonder. Is it because of macro trends (e.g. US elections, Christmas, FB bug) or is it due to ad fatigue? Do you need to wait a bit, or do you need to adjust your campaign (e.g. update creatives, adjust targeting) as soon as possible?

To investigate, you implement a Geo Test by continuing the campaign in test regions while pausing it in control regions. After four weeks, you notice that the performance in the test regions significantly improved, compared to the control regions. This indicates that the drop was due to macro trends. Hallelujah!

With empirical evidence from the Geo Test, you can make informed decisions about your campaign strategy. You might learn that on average, ad fatigue happens after six weeks, and you need to refresh your creatives every six weeks. Or you might learn that before the elections, you should temporarily reduce your marketing spend to avoid waste. By continuously monitoring and analyzing the performance across test vs. control regions, you can optimize your campaign to achieve the best possible outcomes.

Challenge 5: Effectiveness of Offline Advertising

You invest a lot of money in billboard, TV, or radio ads. But how do you measure their impact on sales or brand recognition when there’s no direct way to track this? Comparing regions with and without offline ads, while controlling for other factors, allows Geo Tests to uncover the actual effects of your ads on local traffic and sales, providing a clearer valuation of their contribution.

So for example, you launch a series of billboard ads in several cities. To measure their impact, you compare sales data from cities with billboards to those without. By analyzing the differences and accounting for other variables, you find that cities with billboards show a noticeable increase in sales, demonstrating the effectiveness of your offline advertising efforts.

Can I get an amen?

Conclusions

Geo Tests provide a methodological approach to evaluate the direct impact of advertising strategies across various mediums. When you are unsure about the true effect of your ads and think you might be in one of the scenarios described above, you should plan for a Geo Test to be incorporated in your next campaign.

Although testing might come with a price (i.e. geos which won’t see your ads), proper planning will balance between different business constraints to make sure that the “price” is negligible. By creating comparable groups in different geographic areas, these tests offer insights that go beyond surface-level analytics, allowing marketers to make data-driven decisions to optimize their advertising spend effectively.

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